Probably Obama. Look, it's obvious to every one that Mayor Mike is planning his run. The Times reports that his aides have been planning for an independent bid for the last two years. And as usual, it's a smart move for the billionaire, especially if the polls continue to carry the way they are with Rudy and Hillary leading. In a three way race, I predict he'll have the reverse Nader effect of 2000. That is he'll pull more people away from Giuliani that Clinton.
Unfortunately for Obama, he's left in the dust. Just the effect of Bloomy announcing his independent status has taken the gas out of Obama's jets, which unfortunately was just about all he had in terms of media exposure. Obama was a media darling--especially in the liberal media because of the narrative he represented: the new outsider, young articulate and "clean" black man. But one thing that the narrative media would like more than to see Obama in office is the anti-partisan coalition candidate (the unity candidate), and should Bloomy join forces with Hagel or Powell (who might have an ax to grind with the GOP since they threw him under the bus at the UN) Bloomy could crack the GOP wide open. I'm not saying that he'll win, but with him in it the GOP will definitely lose.
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