Some good news?

From Austin Bay Blog looking at some of the possible ways the Hezbollah/ Hamas/ Israel/ Syria/ Iran war-conflict-fight thing could turn out. Money quotes:

"The Middle East –the entire world– has changed since 1982. There is no Cold War, there is no Saddam. Lebanon has also changed. Many Lebanese are ready for Hezbollah to enter history’s dustbin. The Lebanese have also experienced twenty years of Syrian occupation and thuggery. Hezbollah remains a creature of Syria– a Syrian tool bought and paid for by Iran."

And:

"The diplomatic component of this scenario: the Israelis make the case that in the post-Saddam, post-Beirut Spring Middle East, proxy wars are no longer tolerated. The Iranians will not be able to respond to Israeli strikes in kind. They will be exposed as weak hotheads and they will have lost at least part of their nuclear investment."

Both cases would call for some type of grass roots revolution, the thing that right now seems possible in Iran (the White House stresses it enough, then puts no money into fleshing it out), and the Lebanese might hate Syria more than Israel. Question to me is, will Israel bomb just enough to incite conflict between these nations' respective leadership and populations without going overboard and pushing the people into the arms of their tyrants? Only time will tell.